Can Strategic Research Define Middle East Corporate Success? thumbnail

Can Strategic Research Define Middle East Corporate Success?

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Business news and financial news, analysis, viewpoint and statistics covering the six Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

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Economic development throughout the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to accelerate in 2026, with the region forecasted to exceed its 2025 performance regardless of muted oil earnings and ongoing global unpredictabilities. According to a brand-new Oxford Economics research rundown, GCC GDP development is expected to increase to 4.4 per cent in 2026, up from 4 per cent in 2025, showing a resilient nonenergy sector, strong consumer characteristics, and slowly enhancing oil output.

The newest projections suggest that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to regain momentum, buoyed by strengthening domestic need and a broadly constant international backdrop. The report highlights GCC customers as a significant chauffeur of the region's economic performance heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing genuine disposable earnings are anticipated to fuel a rise in consumer costs across the Gulf.

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Credit development is also forecast to stay elevated as access to financial services expands. With GCC reserve banks anticipated to follow anticipated US Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the region's dollar pegs, borrowing costs are most likely to decline, offering homes and businesses further incentive to invest and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the area's durability, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook presents a mixed photo.

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This could weigh on firsthalf growth, especially for economies more based on oil extraction. Oxford Economics predicts a rebound later in 2026, with Opec+ members expected to resume raising production as inventories tighten up and worldwide need improves. Qatar, meanwhile, sticks out as a regional outperformer, with considerable growths in gas production and exports anticipated to lift its overall financial performance.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 budget prepares for a 6 per cent cut in capital expenditure as the kingdom intends to narrow its financial deficit by two portion points. Nevertheless, the report keeps in mind that these cuts may not materialise totally if countercyclical spending procedures are triggered to support growth. By contrast, more diversified economies such as the UAE and Qatar are anticipated to continue advancing their advancement agendas.

Regardless of shortterm dangers tied to oil costs and worldwide need, the GCC's 2026 financial outlook is defined by strength in principles: resistant customers, robust nonenergy sectors, enhancing oil characteristics, and tactical fiscal preparation. With these elements aligning, the region is getting ready for one of its most well balanced periods of growth in current years anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP development.

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RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council regional economies are expected to stay durable in 2026, driven by strong domestic demand and a broadly steady international economy, according to an analysis. In its most current report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the genuine gross domestic product of the GCC region is anticipated to expand by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the predicted 4 percent this year.

We expect GCC development will rise to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center said that economic development in the area is set to speed up to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by expanding non-oil sectors.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+


Non-oil activities accounted for 73.2 percent of total GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the area's ongoing progress towards diversification. According to Oxford Economics, GCC consumers will be standout entertainers in 2026 and are anticipated to surpass their worldwide peers.

In December, the IMF further said that headline inflation is anticipated to stay below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, close to 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and a little above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit growth is anticipated to stay raised in the GCC area during 2026, as access to financial services is expected to grow and loaning is projected to be supported by additional cuts in rates of interest."Owing to their currency pegs to the United States dollar, GCC reserve banks are expected to follow the US Federal Reserve by reducing monetary policy further, which in turn will decrease debt servicing costs and improve disposable earnings and need," said the report.