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To reverse a years of damaging overall factor efficiency, local labour market policy is shifting from basic job development to managing active workforce transitions. Governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to equip workers for emerging functions. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style pathways are ending up being more typical as companies incorporate AI tools into everyday workflows.
With oil rates anticipated to typical $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local governments are intensifying their focus on expenditure discipline and private capital mobilisation. Financial policy is pivoting towards the monetisation of state-owned properties in logistics, energies, and desalination to redirect funds toward higher-impact financial investments. While loaning through sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to fund tactical deficits, the focus stays on enhancing non-oil earnings structures.
PwC Middle East financial policy and strategy partner Jing Teow said: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now focused on delivery. In 2026, the priority is strengthening financial strength through more safe trade and investment relationships, efficient AI deployment, managed labor force transitions and disciplined fiscal policy in a more difficult and fragmented worldwide environment.".

Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's economic expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector efficiency, resistant domestic need and restored investment momentum, according to the newest ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to exceed most international areas peers next year, with regional GDP projection to grow by 4.4%. Throughout the GCC, non-energy activity is forecasted to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and rising investment in technology and AI-related facilities.
Oil profits will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is anticipated to increase again in the second half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it stated. Saudi Arabia will stay a significant contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.

Development will be supported by commercial expansion and policy reforms, consisting of eased foreign ownership rules that aim to promote additional financial investment. The fiscal deficit is predicted to expand to 5.6% of GDP next year amid softer oil prices, while the current five-year rent freeze in Riyadh aims to alleviate inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also positioned for another strong year of performance, with GDP projection to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourist, trade and monetary services stay crucial growth motorists, supported by population development and sustained domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is anticipated to pick up again in the 2nd half of 2026, matching continuous investment in infrastructure, technology and international trade collaborations. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, stated: "This quarter's outlook reinforces how far the GCC has can be found in structure varied, durable and globally competitive economies.
How to Utilize Market Intelligence for GrowthScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Economist and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are going into 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is getting speed, supported by robust demand and rising financial investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to take advantage of solid domestic fundamentals, a sharp uplift in government spending and sustained diversification efforts.
Expert Advice Regarding Navigating GCC Economy ComplexityWhat identifies 2026 from preceding years is not just the velocity of technological change, though that velocity is real, however rather an essential shift in how enterprises develop of their GCCs' function. The is expected to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this development masks a more extensive transformation.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss responsibility, and add to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most effective GCCs will act like internal startups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with international service outcomes. This shift from execution to ownership represents perhaps the single most considerable strategic recalibration in the GCC model's development.
Today, we're assembling more than 3000 meetings between investors and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're uniting investors, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the region, and what comes next, consisting of the expansion and ongoing advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing role in international networks of capital and trade.
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