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To reverse a decade of deteriorating overall factor performance, regional labour market policy is shifting from basic job development to managing active labor force shifts. Federal governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in information analytics and digital operations to gear up workers for emerging roles. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style pathways are becoming more common as companies integrate AI tools into everyday workflows.
With oil rates forecasted to typical $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional federal governments are intensifying their concentrate on expenditure discipline and private capital mobilisation. Financial policy is pivoting towards the monetisation of state-owned properties in logistics, utilities, and desalination to reroute funds towards higher-impact financial investments. While borrowing by means of sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to fund tactical deficits, the focus remains on strengthening non-oil revenue frameworks.
PwC Middle East economic policy and technique partner Jing Teow said: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now focused on delivery. In 2026, the concern is enhancing economic durability through more protected trade and investment relationships, effective AI release, managed workforce shifts and disciplined fiscal policy in a more difficult and fragmented global environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's economic expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, durable domestic need and restored investment momentum, according to the most recent ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to outperform most worldwide areas peers next year, with local GDP projection to grow by 4.4%. Throughout the GCC, non-energy activity is projected to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, improving credit conditions and rising investment in innovation and AI-related infrastructure.
Although oil earnings will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is expected to increase again in the second half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it mentioned. Saudi Arabia will stay a major factor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by commercial expansion and policy reforms, including reduced foreign ownership guidelines that intend to promote more investment. The financial deficit is projected to broaden to 5.6% of GDP next year amid softer oil rates, while the current five-year lease freeze in Riyadh intends to relieve inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also placed for another strong year of performance, with GDP forecast to rise 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourist, trade and financial services remain essential growth chauffeurs, supported by population development and continual domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is anticipated to get once again in the second half of 2026, matching continuous investment in infrastructure, innovation and worldwide trade collaborations. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, stated: "This quarter's outlook reinforces how far the GCC has actually can be found in building varied, resilient and worldwide competitive economies.
Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Advisor, and Chief Financial Expert and Handling Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are going into 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is acquiring speed, supported by robust need and increasing investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to gain from solid domestic principles, a sharp uplift in government spending and continual diversification efforts.
Why Shared Services Are Essential for GCC Market ScalingWhat identifies 2026 from preceding years is not merely the acceleration of technological change, though that acceleration is genuine, but rather an essential shift in how business envisage their GCCs' purpose. The is anticipated to grow to four hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this growth masks a more profound transformation.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss obligation, and add to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will act like internal startups, agile, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with international business outcomes. This shift from execution to ownership represents maybe the single most substantial strategic recalibration in the GCC model's development.
This week, we're assembling more than 3000 meetings between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're combining financiers, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the region, and what follows, consisting of the expansion and continuous development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing function in global networks of capital and trade.
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